Fake#1 After the Wagner Group rebellion, Putin will emerge even stronger, POLITICO experts believe
Fake date 26.06.2023
On June 24, Yevgeny Prigozhin and Wagner Group rebellion ended after negotiations with the Russian leadership and with the mediation of Alexander Lukashenko. PMC Wagner units stopped about 200 kilometers from Moscow and then returned to their base. The founder of the Wagner Group has flown out to Minsk.
Commenting on the Russian mercenary 'March of Justice', Russian host Olga Skabeeva claimed via her Telegram channel that Vladimir Putin would emerge even stronger now.
According to her, the experts of POLITICO made such a conclusion by analyzing the rebellion's consequences for Russia.
The following quotation was provided as proof:
“A professor of political science at Michigan State University Frantz:
“Given that others with arms did not join Prighozin’s rallying call — Putin will probably emerge even stronger.
One of the possible ways is a show of force by large-scale campaigns in Ukraine.”
A senior fellow at the Vienna Center for Disarmament and Nonproliferation Sokov:
“I do not anticipate any impact on the war. I do not anticipate any weakening of Putin and the regime from this event. In fact, his support among the military might increase — both from Shoigu and top brass, but perhaps more importantly from generals and officers at the frontline.
The POLITICO article does include these quotes. However, not two, but 14 experts on Russia were interviewed.
The majority is of the opinion that ‘Putin is vulnerable and the Russian state is decrepit’, and that ‘Putin’s image of invincibility has been tarnished’.
Only two experts see in the rebellion some positive effects for the President of Russia. They are Russian Nikolai Sokov and American Erika Franz.
Erika Frantz did say that Putin's power is likely to be strengthened, although the Wagner rebellion will have a strong negative impact on Russia at the front.
“The visible crack in Putin’s armor could prove to be a major motivator for Ukrainian forces and, importantly, the world powers who back them. And, should Putin lose the war, opportunities for political change in Russia may present themselves that did not exist otherwise,” she says.